Digital Book World’s (DBW) Jeremy Greenfield writes about “gathering publishing experts to predict what extraordinary events are to come in book publishing in 2014.” In a recent DBW post he selects the boldest predictions. Here they are (directly quoted):

  1. Barnes & Noble will close or sell Nook and go private.
  2. Amazon will go the way of Barnes & Noble…and open its own physical stores in 2014.
  3. Trade publishers will sell and acquire assets to “verticalize” their businesses.
  4. The illustrated book business will become severely challenged.
  5. Publishers will go after new revenue streams as ebook revenue growth continues to taper.
  6. More publishers will endorse the subscription ebook model by doing business with Oyster, Scribd and other similar services.
  7. More publishers will launch magazines and websites catering to reader interests and start selling ebooks directly to customers.
  8. Publishers will move toward data-drive decision making.
  9. More price experimentation.
  10. The “big five” publishers will make their full ebook catalogs available to libraries for purchase.

Click here to read the full post and more detail about the predictions. For more of Mr. Greenfield’s predictions (the “cutting room floor” edition) in Forbes, click here.

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